š¦ Day 1
Skipped the prior day due to Regime 6 / no trade.
š¢ Green Day
Starting Balance$3,000
Current Balance$3,727
Daily PnL+$727
Total Series PnL+$727
Trade 1
Primary Entry Reason: ZWAP
Supporting Context: PML flush / bearish bias / negative gamma
Management / Exit: Took a ZWAP bearish bias PML flush scalp with 20x 646P. Took profit around the usual 20%ā30% gain window for +$340.
Trade 2
Primary Entry Reason: Volatility posture / z-score
Supporting Context: R5-R reversal / OB target
Management / Exit: Took an R5-R reversal long into the OB with 10x 653C. Took profit around the usual 20%ā30% gain window for +$387.
Could have held the R5-R longer, but there was still quite a bit of negative gamma on NDX, so I stayed conservative. Target was VXX OB, which was hit.
š¦ Day 2
š¢ Green Day
Starting Balance$3,705.71
Current Balance$4,577.43
Daily PnL+$932
Total Series PnL+$1,659
Trade 1
Primary Entry Reason: ZWAP
Supporting Context: Early R4-VC reversal (likely due to gap-up open)
Management / Exit: Took a ZWAP short scalp to YDH. Signs of an unusually early R4-VC reversal, likely caused by the gap-up open. Targeted YDH key level exit. +$500
Trade 2
Primary Entry Reason: PML key level momentum
Supporting Context: PML flush / 10am hammer / R4-R
Management / Exit: Took the PML flush into the 10am hammer candle for the R4-R setup. +$362
Trade 3
Primary Entry Reason: Volatility posture / z-score, R4-R 10am behavior
Supporting Context: 10am confirmed hammer / R4-R / chop
Management / Exit: Took far OTM calls on the confirmed 10am hammer candle to catch the R4-R reversal while reducing some of the chop volatility. Exited early for +$70 after realizing I went a bit too far OTM to capture the short-term move.
š¦ Day 3
š¢ Green Day
Starting Balance$4,577.43
Current Balance$5,127.79
Daily PnL+$606
Total Series PnL+$2,265
Trade 1
Primary Entry Reason: ZWAP
Supporting Context: R5-R opening short
Management / Exit: Took a short scalp into the OB (above PML) for +$386.
Trade 2
Primary Entry Reason: Volatility posture / z-score
Supporting Context: ~9:45 long / ZWAP short bias exit
Management / Exit: Took the long around 9:45 for +$220. Very quick, strong candle.
Overall a pretty straightforward day. Our favorite setup, really: R5-R. Short first (optional), then long around 9:45 and let the session do the rest. Did I sell early? 100%, yes. For the sake of the small account challenge, the goal is to compound the account ā not necessarily squeeze the full move, but lock in safer gains early and keep the curve growing.
š¦ Day 4
š¢ Green Day
Starting Balance$5,127.79
Current Balance$5,655.79
Daily PnL+$528
Total Series PnL+$2,655.79
Trade 1
Primary Entry Reason: ZWAP
Supporting Context: Weak R5-R setup / z-score around -4 at open / PML flush
Management / Exit: Took a ZWAP short / PML flush for +$520.
Trade 2
Primary Entry Reason: Bearish OB rejection
Supporting Context: Bearish OB tap and reject / negative gamma / BULL DIV (EX) on monitored contract
Management / Exit: Correctly identified the bearish OB tap and reject, but hesitated on the entry and fat-fingered 1 contract instead of 10. Seeing a BULL DIV (EX) on the specific contract I was watching also spooked me, so I exited near breakeven for +$8.
After that hesitation, I chose not to re-enter short and called it a day. In hindsight, that was still a good decision with price later chopping just below EM-. Main issue: execution and hesitation, not the read.